Declassified UFO / UAP Document
Flying Saucers
AI-Generated Summary
A 1952 CIA memorandum evaluating 1,000-2,000 UFO reports, concluding most are hoaxes or misidentifications, while recommending continued surveillance of the small percentage of unexplained cases.
This informal memorandum, dated August 1, 1952, and authored by Edward Tauss, provides an evaluation of 'flying saucer' reports for the Deputy Assistant Director/SI. The document notes that the Air Technical Intelligence Center (ATIC) has received between 1,000 and 2,000 reports. Tauss categorizes the majority of these as either 'phoney' or misidentifications of known U.S. military equipment, such as aircraft and weather balloons, or natural phenomena like meteorites, clouds, and light aberrations caused by thermal inversions. Despite this, the author acknowledges that fewer than 100 reports remain 'unexplainable' at the time of writing. These remaining reports lack a consistent pattern in size, configuration, performance, or location. Tauss argues that if more complete information were available, these remaining cases would likely fall into the same categories as the explained reports. Nevertheless, he advises that because interplanetary aspects and alien origins have not been definitively excluded, the CIA should maintain surveillance of the subject. He strongly cautions against allowing CIA interest in the matter to reach the public or the press, fearing that such disclosure might be interpreted as confirmation of the validity of these reports, thereby fueling public alarm. Finally, the author notes that he has arranged a comprehensive briefing at the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio, for August 8, 1952, to obtain further details for a subsequent analysis.
Notwithstanding the foregoing tentative facts, so long as a series of reports remains "unexplainable" (interplanetary aspects and alien origin not being thoroughly excluded from consideration) caution requires that intelligence continue coverage of the subject.
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Official Assessment
A large percentage are 'phoney'. An equally large percentage can be satisfactorily explained as known flights of currently operational U.S. equipment (aircraft, weather balloons, etc.) and many others are undoubtedly of natural phenomena (meteorites, clouds, aberration of light caused by thermal inversion or reflections, etc.).
The author concludes that the vast majority of reports are either hoaxes or misidentifications of known phenomena. However, a small number of reports remain 'unexplainable' and require continued intelligence coverage as extraterrestrial origins cannot be entirely excluded.
Key Persons
- P. G. StrongRecipient/Reviewer
- F. C. DurantRecipient/Reviewer
- H. ChanningRecipient/Reviewer
- M. J. GarderRecipient/Reviewer
- J. B. QuigleyRecipient/Reviewer