An Operational Analysis for Air Force 2025: An Application of Value-Focused Thinking to Future Air and Space Capabilities A Research Paper Presented To Air Force 2025 Lt Col Jack A. Jackson, Jr., PhD, AFIT Lt Col Brian L. Jones, PhD, AFIT Maj Lee J. Lehmkuhl, DrSci, AFIT with major contributions from Col Gregory S. Parnell, USAF Ret., PhD, VCU Col Gerald A. Hasen, PhD, AFIT Lt Col Gregg H. Gunsch, PhD, AFIT Lt Col John M. Andrew, PhD, AWC Maj Thomas A. Buter, PhD, AFIT Maj Harry W. Conley, ACSC Maj Robert F. Mills, PhD, AFIT Form SF298 Citation Data Report Date ("DD MON YYYY") Report Type Dates Covered (from... to) ("DD MON YYYY") Title and Subtitle An Operational Analysis for Air Force 2025: An Application of Value-Focused Thinking to Future Air and Space Capabilities Contract or Grant Number Program Element Number Jackson, Jr., Jack A.; Jones, Brian L.; Lehmkuhl, Lee J. Project Number Task Number Work Unit Number Performing Organization Name(s) and Address(es) Air Command and Staff College Maxwell AFB, Al 36112 Performing Organization Sponsoring/Monitoring Agency Name(s) and Address(es) Monitoring Agency Acronym Monitoring Agency Report Distribution/Availability Statement Approved for public release, distribution unlimited Supplementary Notes Subject Terms Document Classification unclassified Classification of SF298 unclassified Classification of Abstract unclassified Limitation of Abstract Number of Pages Disclaimer 2025 is a study designed to comply with a directive from the chief of staff of the Air Force to examine the concepts, capabilities, and technologies the United States will require to remain the dominant air and space force in the future. Presented on 17 June 1996, this report was produced in the Department of Defense school environment of academic freedom and in the interest of advancing concepts related to national defense. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or the United States government. This report contains fictional representations of future situations/scenarios. Any similarities to real people or events, other than those specifically cited, are unintentional and are for purposes of illustration only. Mention of various programs or technologies throughout this paper does not imply Air Force or DOD endorsement of either the mission, the program, or adoption of the technology. This publication has been reviewed by security and policy review authorities, is unclassified, and is cleared for public release. Chapter Page Developing the Air Force 2025 Value ModelFoundations 2025..................................... 21 Weighting the Foundations 2025 Value Model across Alternate Futures ............................. 38 Chapter Page Appendix Page Appendix Page 8.2 Global Surveillance, Reconnaissance, and Targeting System............................................ 127 Illustrations Figure Page Figure Page